Steelers vs. Saints prediction favors Pittsburgh to win in NFL Week 7 [2026]

Since our Steelers-Saints predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Saints, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Steelers a 60.1% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 23-20.

Key factors favoring the Steelers:

• Saints offense
• Steelers team rating
• Steelers QB situation

According to our model, the Saints (+3.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 53.2% chance of going over.

The key factors that make the over more likely are:

• QB ratings
• Steelers recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Steelers -3.5 (+120) / Saints +3.5 (-122)
• Moneyline: Steelers -147, Saints +150
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (+106/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Steelers -3.5 @ 45¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Steelers @ 60¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 43.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Steelers vs. Saints TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Saints?

According to our model, Jaylen Warren is most likely to score an anytime TD in Steelers vs. Saints.

Our projections give Warren a 42.8% chance of scoring a TD at Stade de France, while the running back is an 11.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Jaylen Warren (RB): 42.8% probability
• DK Metcalf (WR): 33.3%
• Pat Freiermuth (TE): 28.2%
• Rico Dowdle (RB): 28.1%
• Germie Bernard (WR): 26.8%

New Orleans Saints

• Kendre Miller (RB): 34.3% prob.
• Chris Olave (WR): 30.8%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 23.8%
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 21.9%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 21.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Jaylen Warren (RB): 11.3% prob.
• DK Metcalf (WR): 8.2%
• Pat Freiermuth (TE): 6.7%
• Rico Dowdle (RB): 6.7%
• Germie Bernard (WR): 6.3%

New Orleans Saints

• Kendre Miller (RB): 8.7% prob.
• Chris Olave (WR): 7.6%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 5.6%
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 5.1%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 4.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Saints. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 232 passing yards. The Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 236 yards.

Steelers rushing

• Jaylen Warren: 67 yds
• Rico Dowdle: 33 yds
• Aaron Rodgers: 4 yds

Saints rushing

• Kendre Miller: 41 yds
• Alvin Kamara: 23 yds
• Tyler Shough: 17 yds

Steelers receiving

• DK Metcalf: 62 yds
• Germie Bernard: 57 yds
• Pat Freiermuth: 35 yds
• Darnell Washington: 27 yds
• Jaylen Warren: 26 yds

Saints receiving

• Chris Olave: 79 yds
• Devaughn Vele: 48 yds
• Juwan Johnson: 36 yds
• Bryce Lance: 19 yds
• Alvin Kamara: 17 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 matchup between the Saints and Steelers at Stade de France is scheduled to start at 9:30 AM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 9:30 AM ET/6:30 AM PT
• Venue: Stade de France

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 60.1% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 7 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.