NFL picks straight up: Week 7, 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

The Texans top the board with a 79% win probability in Week 7.

NFL Week 7 Straight Up Picks.
NFL Week 7 straight up picks based on 10,000 game simulations.

At Dimers, our Week 7 NFL picks are grounded in data-driven insight, with straight-up picks for all 14 games informed by our latest NFL predictions.

Secure an advantage in your NFL pick 'em contests by following our data-driven NFL Week 7 picks straight up, powered by thousands of game simulations.

Week 7 of the NFL season begins with the New England Patriots facing the Chicago Bears on Thursday night and concludes with the Dallas Cowboys taking on the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday.

NFL picks this week straight up: Week 7, 2026

Listed below are our Week 7 NFL picks highlighting each team's chances of winning their game this week.

New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

The Patriots kick off Week 7 against the Bears at Soldier Field on Thursday night. According to our model, the Bears have a 62% chance of winning, while the Patriots have a 38% chance.

For Week 7's opening game, our model highlights NFL player projections, with Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) the most likely player from the Patriots to score the first TD at 8.8%, while D'Andre Swift (RB) is the top candidate from the Bears at 14.4%.

Check out our full New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears prediction ahead of this week's matchup at Soldier Field, set for Thursday, October 22 at 8:15pm. All times stated in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints

For this week's game between the Steelers and the Saints, Pittsburgh is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Steelers a 62% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 38% chance that the Saints will win.

Explore the latest data in this week's Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints prediction before kickoff in New Orleanson Sunday at 9:30am.

As the regular season approaches its conclusion, track the top teams with our updated NFL futures, highlighting top Super Bowl contenders.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings

We are picking the Vikings to win their game against the Colts this week, with our trusted NFL model projecting a 72% win probability for the home team. The Colts have a 28% chance of winning at U.S. Bank Stadium.

For betting purposes, the Vikings are listed as -6.5 favorites, with the Colts' moneyline at +240.

Find the complete Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings prediction for a closer look at Sunday's 1:00pm game.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets

According to our predictive analytics model, the Jets are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 65%. The Dolphins, on the other hand, have a 35% chance of winning.

Review the edges and numbers in our Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets prediction for this Sunday 1:00pm clash at MetLife Stadium.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals have a 55% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Ravens' 45% chance of victory. This makes the Cincinnati Bengals our pick to win at M&T Bank Stadium.

See the numbers behind this matchup in the full Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens prediction scheduled for Sunday at 1:00pm at M&T Bank Stadium.

Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans

The Browns are favorites to win their game this week, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 56% chance, while the Titans enter the weekend with a 44% chance of winning at Nissan Stadium.

When it comes to betting on this game, the Browns' moneyline odds are set at -124, with the home team Titans listed as +1.5 underdogs.

This week's Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans prediction highlights the top values for the game at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, October 25 at 1:00pm.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

After 10,000 simulations of Buccaneers vs. Panthers this Sunday, our model projects the Panthers as the more likely winners with a probability of 62%. Their opponents, the Buccaneers, have a 38% chance of getting the win on the road.

Compare projections and odds for this matchup in our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers prediction, set for Sunday at 1:00pm.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons

DimersBOT is picking the 49ers, who have a 61% chance of winning the matchup, while the Falcons have a 39% chance of an upset win.

Access the full data breakdown in our San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons prediction ahead of kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

New York Giants vs. Houston Texans

The next game of Week 7 sees the Giants take on the Texans at Reliant Stadium.

We predict the Texans to win with a probability of 79%, while the Giants are projected to have a win chance of 21%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, the Texans are listed as -10.5 favorites, with the Giants' moneyline odds posted at +410.

Breakdown further probabilities and player projections in the New York Giants vs. Houston Texans prediction for Sunday, October 25 at 1:00pm.

Denver Broncos vs. Arizona Cardinals

The likely winner of this matchup is the Broncos, who have a projected win chance of 64%, according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Cardinals have a projected win probability of 36%.

Check out our Denver Broncos vs. Arizona Cardinals prediction to see where the rest of the numbers lean ahead of Sunday's game in Arizona.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Rams-Raiders clash 10,000 times, with the Rams coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Rams won 6,709 times, with the Raiders winning on 3,291 occasions.

Get direct access to more game projections with our Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction before Sunday's clash at Allegiant Stadium

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions

Next up is the game between the Packers and Lions, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with the Lions rated as having a 61% chance of getting the W. The Packers, on the other hand, are projected to have a 39% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, the oddsmakers have the Packers' moneyline odds set at +144 for this road game, while the hosting Lions are listed as -3 favorites.

Examine further probabilities in the full Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions prediction, scheduled for Sunday at 4:25pm.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Seahawks to get the win against the Chiefs. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Seattle have a win probability of 58%, with the Chiefs at 42%.

View the complete Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks prediction for a deeper look at this Sunday's game in Seattle.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

With a win probability of 68% on Monday night, our straight up pick for this game is the Cowboys, while their opponent, the Eagles, have a projected win chance of 32%.

Check out the latest projections in this week's Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles prediction before kickoff on Monday, October 26 at 8:15pm.

Full list of NFL Week 7 picks straight up

This week's most likely NFL winners, ordered by probability:

  • Texans 79.3% vs. Giants
  • Vikings 72.0% vs. Colts
  • Cowboys 67.7% @ Eagles
  • Rams 67.1% @ Raiders
  • Jets 64.9% vs. Dolphins
  • Broncos 63.7% @ Cardinals
  • Bears 61.9% vs. Patriots
  • Panthers 61.7% vs. Buccaneers
  • Steelers 61.6% @ Saints
  • Lions 61.1% vs. Packers
  • 49ers 61.0% @ Falcons
  • Seahawks 57.7% vs. Chiefs
  • Browns 55.6% @ Titans
  • Bengals 55.1% @ Ravens

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NFL straight up picks and predictions for Week 7

The NFL Week 7 predictions straight up in this article are accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions, with our straight up picks trusted by football fans across the country.

If you decide to use our NFL straight up picks for betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For more resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities mentioned on this page are subject to change.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Editor

Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.

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