Buccaneers vs. Panthers prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win in NFL Week 7 [2026]

Since our Buccaneers-Panthers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Buccaneers and Panthers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Panthers a 61.1% chance of defeating the Buccaneers in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Panthers winning 23-20.

Key factors favoring the Panthers:

• Buccaneers offense
• Panthers team rating
• Buccaneers QB situation

According to our model, the Panthers (-2.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Buccaneers +2.5 (+111) / Panthers -2.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Buccaneers +141, Panthers -144
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-104/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Panthers -2.5 @ 53¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Panthers @ 59¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 44.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Buccaneers vs. Panthers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Chuba Hubbard is most likely to score an anytime TD in Buccaneers vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Hubbard a 49.5% chance of scoring a TD at Bank of America Stadium, while the running back is a 12.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 43.1% probability
• Chris Godwin (WR): 24.5%
• Cade Otton (TE): 21.5%
• Ted Hurst (WR): 21.3%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 21.2%

Carolina Panthers

• Chuba Hubbard (RB): 49.5% prob.
• Jalen Coker (WR): 36.2%
• Tetairoa McMillan (WR): 34.4%
• Darren Waller (TE): 24.0%
• Tommy Tremble (TE): 18.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 10.8% prob.
• Chris Godwin (WR): 5.4%
• Cade Otton (TE): 4.7%
• Ted Hurst (WR): 4.6%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 4.6%

Carolina Panthers

• Chuba Hubbard (RB): 12.5% prob.
• Jalen Coker (WR): 8.3%
• Tetairoa McMillan (WR): 7.7%
• Darren Waller (TE): 5.0%
• Tommy Tremble (TE): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Buccaneers and Panthers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 223 passing yards, while the Panthers' Bryce Young is expected to throw for 256 yards.

Buccaneers rushing

• Bucky Irving: 66 yds
• Baker Mayfield: 24 yds
• Kenny Gainwell: 17 yds

Panthers rushing

• Chuba Hubbard: 72 yds
• Bryce Young: 16 yds
• AJ Dillon: 13 yds

Buccaneers receiving

• Chris Godwin: 50 yds
• Ted Hurst: 44 yds
• Cade Otton: 41 yds
• Tez Johnson: 34 yds
• Bucky Irving: 20 yds

Panthers receiving

• Tetairoa McMillan: 73 yds
• Jalen Coker: 71 yds
• Darren Waller: 27 yds
• Tommy Tremble: 21 yds
• Chuba Hubbard: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 action between the Panthers and Buccaneers at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Bank of America Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 61.1% win probability, will likely beat the Buccaneers in Week 7 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.