Jets vs. Chiefs prediction favors Kansas City to win in NFL Week 9 [2026]

Since our Jets-Chiefs predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Jets and Chiefs, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 78.7% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 28-18.

Key factors favoring the Chiefs:

• Chiefs team rating
• Chiefs offense
• Jets offense

According to our model, the Chiefs (-8.5) have a 50.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

Key factors making the under more likely are::

• Playing conditions
• Jets recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jets +8.5 (+102) / Chiefs -8.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Jets +425, Chiefs -426
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-106/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Chiefs -8.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Jets @ +425 via hard_rock
• Total: Under 47.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Chiefs TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Kenneth Walker is most likely to score an anytime TD in Jets vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Walker a 63.9% chance of scoring a TD at Arrowhead Stadium, while the running back is a 17.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 31.0% probability
• Braelon Allen (RB): 30.3%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 25.7%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 21.4%
• Mason Taylor (TE): 18.7%

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kenneth Walker (RB): 63.9% prob.
• Rashee Rice (WR): 41.5%
• Travis Kelce (TE): 36.4%
• Xavier Worthy (WR): 30.0%
• Emmett Johnson (RB): 20.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 7.2% prob.
• Braelon Allen (RB): 7.0%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 5.7%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 4.7%
• Mason Taylor (TE): 4.0%

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kenneth Walker (RB): 17.4% prob.
• Rashee Rice (WR): 9.2%
• Travis Kelce (TE): 7.7%
• Xavier Worthy (WR): 6.1%
• Emmett Johnson (RB): 3.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Chiefs. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Geno Smith is projected for 221 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 245 yards.

Jets rushing

• Braelon Allen: 43 yds
• Breece Hall: 41 yds
• Geno Smith: 10 yds

Chiefs rushing

• Kenneth Walker: 95 yds
• Patrick Mahomes: 18 yds
• Emmett Johnson: 17 yds

Jets receiving

• Omar Cooper: 55 yds
• Adonai Mitchell: 53 yds
• Mason Taylor: 31 yds
• Kenyon Sadiq: 22 yds
• Breece Hall: 18 yds

Chiefs receiving

• Rashee Rice: 61 yds
• Travis Kelce: 49 yds
• Xavier Worthy: 37 yds
• Kenneth Walker: 22 yds
• Cyrus Allen: 21 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Chiefs and Jets at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 78.7% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 9 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.