Sharks vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sharks vs. Senators in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
LIVE
1st 18:11
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 18:11
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sharks
0
:
0
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Sharks
0 0
Senators
0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sharks
    37%
  • Senators
    63%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sharks
0 0
Senators
0 0
P1 01:14 Shot missed by Michael Misa
P1 01:08 Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 00:27 Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
P1 00:22 Shot on goal by Ty Dellandrea saved by Samuel Ersson
Play by Play
  1. P1 01:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  2. P1 01:25
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in offensive zone
  3. P1 01:15
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Michael Misa in defensive zone
  4. P1 01:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Misa
  5. P1 01:10
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  6. P1 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Samuel Ersson
  7. P1 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
  8. P1 00:26
    Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  9. P1 00:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Dellandrea saved by Samuel Ersson
  10. P1 00:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
Stats
Sharks
STATS
Senators
2Shots on Goal0
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins0
0Hits2
0 Shots Blocked 0
1Giveaways0
SharksSJ
SenatorsOTT
2Shots on Goal0
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins0
0Hits2
0 Shots Blocked 0
1Giveaways0

Sharks vs. Senators prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: San Jose Sharks vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Sharks (+1.5, -199), Senators (-1.5, +194)
  • Moneyline: Sharks +120, Senators -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Sharks: 40.9%
  • Senators: 59.1%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Sharks vs. Senators player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Macklin Celebrini, Sharks: 38.7%
  • Will Smith, Sharks: 28.3%
  • Tim Stutzle, Senators: 42.1%
  • Drake Batherson, Senators: 38.1%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 40.9%, while the Senators have a win probability of 59.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Sharks vs. Senators, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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