Panthers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Panthers vs. Penguins in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
LIVE
1st 15:39
NHL
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LIVE
1st 15:39
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
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PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
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Penguins
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Panthers
    48%
  • Penguins
    52%
Win Probability
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P1 04:21 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cooper Black
P1 03:49 Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Lars Eller
P1 03:45 Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Cooper Black
P1 02:06 Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
P1 01:55 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Cooper Black
Play by Play
  1. P1 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Cooper Black
  2. P1 03:49
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Lars Eller
  3. P1 03:47
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  4. P1 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Cooper Black
  5. P1 02:09
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  6. P1 02:06
    SHOT
    Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
  7. P1 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Cooper Black
  8. P1 01:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  9. P1 00:00
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in neutral zone
  10. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Penguins
0Shots on Goal4
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins0
3Hits0
3 Shots Blocked 0
0Giveaways0
PanthersFLA
PenguinsPIT
0Shots on Goal4
25% Faceoff Win % 75%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins0
3Hits0
3 Shots Blocked 0
0Giveaways0

Panthers vs. Penguins prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Florida Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Panthers (-1.5, +205), Penguins (+1.5, -250)
  • Moneyline: Panthers +104, Penguins -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-117/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Panthers: 49.5%
  • Penguins: 50.5%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Panthers vs. Penguins player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Sam Reinhart, Panthers: 38.9%
  • Brady Tkachuk, Panthers: 35.4%
  • Sidney Crosby, Penguins: 36.9%
  • Rickard Rakell, Penguins: 32.9%

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  • Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
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  • Automatic line shopping across major sportsbooks and prediction markets.
  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 49.5%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 50.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Panthers vs. Penguins, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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