Brisbane Broncos vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Broncos favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 22 matchup [8/1/2026]
Get Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Saturday.
The Brisbane Broncos will take on the Newcastle Knights in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 5:35 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Broncos as the most likely winner in this Knights vs. Broncos prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Broncos vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?
Our leading predictive model gives the Broncos a 61.9% chance of beating the Knights.
According to our model, the Knights (+6.5) have a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 53.4% chance of staying under,.
Knights vs. Broncos odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +155 | -200 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o45.5 (-114) | u45.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Broncos picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Knights +6.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Knights | +155 |
| Total | Under 45.5 | -112 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 45.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Broncos vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Broncos and Knights at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Broncos, with a 61.9% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
