Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Raiders are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 23 matchup [8/9/2026]

The Canberra Raiders will face the Newcastle Knights in National Rugby League (NRL) action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.

Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Raiders as the most likely winner in this Knights vs. Raiders prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Raiders vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Raiders, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Raiders a 63.9% chance of defeating the Knights.

According to our model, the Raiders (-2.5) have a 56.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 56.2% chance of going over,.

Knights vs. Raiders odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Raiders @ -167 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 43.5 @ -112 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knights vs. Raiders picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Raiders -2.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Raiders @ -167 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 43.5 @ -112 via DraftKings According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Raiders vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Raiders and Knights at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to start at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders
• Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
• Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Venue: GIO Stadium Canberra

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Raiders, with a 63.9% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.