Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Why Tigers are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 24 matchup [8/16/2026]

The Wests Tigers will face the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:05 AM ET.

Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Tigers as the most likely winner in this Dragons vs. Tigers prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Tigers vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 24 game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL game between the Dragons and Tigers, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Tigers a 60.9% chance of defeating the Dragons.

According to our model, the Tigers (-1.5) have a 60.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 56.3% chance of staying under,.

St George vs. Tigers odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Dragons +104, Tigers -130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dragons vs. Tigers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tigers -1.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Tigers @ -130 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 46.5 @ -114 via BetRivers

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tigers vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rugby league action between the Tigers and Dragons at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:05 AM ET.

• Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Wests Tigers
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
• Venue: Bankwest Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Tigers, with a 60.9% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.