Sky vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [9/19/2026]

The Atlanta Dream and Chicago Sky will lock horns in the WNBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Sky vs. Dream prediction.

The Dream, who have star players like Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Sky, featuring Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Courtney Vandersloot.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Dream prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA game between the Sky and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dream an 85.1% chance of defeating the Sky. According to our model, the Sky (+13.5) have a 61.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 177.5-point over/under has a 50.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sky +13.5 (+114) / Dream -13.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Sky +756, Dream -809
• Total: Over/Under 177.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky +13.5 @ 47¢ via Kalshi
• Moneyline: Sky @ 12¢ via Kalshi
• Total: Over 177.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Saturday's Chicago vs. Atlanta game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 15 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 18 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Dream.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Sydney Taylor striking first with a 13.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	15	2	3	2	27
Kamilla Cardoso	13	8	2	0	32
C. Vandersloot	10	3	5	1	27
Gabriela Jaquez	9	4	1	1	19
Rachel Banham	9	3	2	2	20

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	18	5	4	2	35
Rhyne Howard	16	3	4	3	34
Angel Reese	16	11	3	0	40
Jordin Canada	11	3	7	1	31
Naz Hillmon	9	4	2	2	20

Game info & tip-off details

Saturday's action between the Dream and Sky at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with an 85.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.