Sep 21, 2026
WNBA player props today: Monday's best props include Paige Bueckers [9/21/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, September 20, 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/20.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, September 20, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 20, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.4% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 16.1% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 15.0% probability
- Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 14.5% probability
- Dominique Malonga (Storm): 14.3% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 14.0% probability
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 13.3% probability
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 12.8% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 12.7% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.7% probability
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 12.6% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.4% probability
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 12.2% probability
- Carla Leite (Fire): 12.0% probability
- Megan DiLeo (Fire): 11.9% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.9% probability
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 11.2% probability
- Isabelle Harrison (Tempo): 11.2% probability
- Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 10.9% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.4% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.2% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 9.8% probability
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 9.2% probability
- Temi Fagbenle (Tempo): 9.0% probability
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 8.7% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.2% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.7% probability
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 7.5% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.4% probability
- Awa Fam (Storm): 7.3% probability
- Jordan Horston (Storm): 7.1% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 6.9% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 6.9% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 6.3% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.1% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.3% probability
- Julie Allemand (Tempo): 5.3% probability
- Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 4.7% probability
- Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 4.3% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 2.5% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 20, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 3.6% edge at +700
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 3.1% edge at +1000
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 2.5% edge at +1200
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 1.4% edge at +790
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 1.1% edge at +1600
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 1.1% edge at +750
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 0.8% edge at +600
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 0.5% edge at +1300
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 0.5% edge at +1120
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 0.1% edge at +750
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/20.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Sunday, September 20, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, with Young shaping as the strongest value play at +700. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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