Sep 21, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Monday's picks include Wings vs. Mercury play [9/21/2026]
Read Article WNBA player props today: Monday's best props include Angel Reese [9/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' WNBA player props are live for September 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Naz Hillmon, Angel Reese and Alyssa Thomas.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Dream vs. Liberty and Wings vs. Mercury—and surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Monday, 9/21
Below are the top nine WNBA player props for September 21, ranked by probability.
Naz Hillmon under 8.5 points scored (-119)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Projection: 6.4
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Dream's Naz Hillmon under 8.5 points scored. A probability of 62.1% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -119 odds.
Angel Reese under 11.5 rebounds (+106)
- Edge: 10.6%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Projection: 10.5
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Angel Reese’s rebounds prop shows a 10.6% edge at +106 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 10.5 rebounds on the under 11.5 line.
Alyssa Thomas under 14.5 points scored (-110)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Projection: 11.9
- Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Alyssa Thomas under 14.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 59.1% probability and a 6.7% edge at -110.
Leonie Fiebich under 1.5 3-pointers made (-114)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Leonie Fiebich to record 1.3 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 5.4% on the under 1.5 line at -114 odds.
Alyssa Thomas under 7.5 rebounds (-103)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Projection: 6.9
- Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Alyssa Thomas under 7.5 rebounds for Mercury, showing an edge of 7.0% at -103 odds.
Jessica Shepard under 9.5 rebounds (-102)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Projection: 9.3
- Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Jessica Shepard’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 4.2% at -102 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.3 today.
Naz Hillmon under 3.5 rebounds (+119)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Projection: 3.5
- Game: Dream vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Naz Hillmon for 3.5 rebounds for Dream, creating an edge of 5.6% on under 3.5 at +119 odds.
Kahleah Copper under 1.5 3-pointers made (+148)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 49.9%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Kahleah Copper for 1.4 3-pointers made, creating value on the under 1.5 line at +148 odds and a 9.6% edge.
Arike Ogunbowale over 2.5 rebounds (+163)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 47.4%
- Projection: 3.3
- Game: Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 9.3% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Arike Ogunbowale a value play in Wings vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 3.3 rebounds at +163 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Monday, September 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:27AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream vs. Liberty | Naz Hillmon u8.5 points scored | -119 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 62.1% |
| Dream vs. Liberty | Angel Reese u11.5 rebounds | +106 @ FanDuel | 10.6% | 59.1% |
| Wings vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas u14.5 points scored | -110 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 58.7% |
| Dream vs. Liberty | Leonie Fiebich u1.5 3-pointers made | -114 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 58.7% |
| Wings vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas u7.5 rebounds | -103 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 57.7% |
| Wings vs. Mercury | Jessica Shepard u9.5 rebounds | -102 @ FanDuel | 4.2% | 54.7% |
| Dream vs. Liberty | Naz Hillmon u3.5 rebounds | +119 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 51.3% |
| Wings vs. Mercury | Kahleah Copper u1.5 3-pointers made | +148 @ FanDuel | 9.6% | 49.9% |
| Wings vs. Mercury | Arike Ogunbowale o2.5 rebounds | +163 @ polymarket | 9.3% | 47.4% |
Conclusion
For September 21, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Naz Hillmon, Angel Reese and Alyssa Thomas. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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