Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [9/20/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lynx a 91.4% chance of beating the Sun. According to our model, the Sun (+18.5) have a 63.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 168.5-point over/under has a 56.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Lynx -18.5 (-113) / Sun +18.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Lynx -1567, Sun +1438
• Total: Over/Under 168.5 (-102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +18.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Sun @ 7¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 168.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +18.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Sunday's Minnesota vs. Connecticut game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Olivia Miles is expected to lead the Lynx with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Aaliyah Edwards is projected to have 12 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists for the Sun.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Aaliyah Edwards as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Olivia Miles	20	5	6	2	43
N. Collier	19	7	3	2	40
Kayla McBride	17	3	2	3	30
C. Williams	13	5	4	1	30
Natasha Howard	12	7	3	0	33

Sun player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Aaliyah Edwards	12	6	1	0	25
Diamond Miller	9	3	2	1	18
Leila Lacan	9	2	4	1	23
Saniya Rivers	9	4	4	1	24
Nell Angloma	7	3	2	0	17

Game info & tip-off details

Sunday's matchup between the Sun and Lynx at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 91.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.