Aces vs. Storm prediction favors Las Vegas to win Thursday's WNBA game [9/17/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Aces a 79.0% chance of beating the Storm. According to our model, the Storm (+10.5) have a 57.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 54.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Aces -10.5 (-110) / Storm +10.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Aces -525, Storm +488
• Total: Over/Under 175.5 (-108/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Storm +10.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Storm @ 17¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Under 175.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +10.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Thursday's Aces vs. Storm game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 18 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Storm.

When evaluating the first basket market, A'ja Wilson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 17% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	26	9	3	1	51
Jackie Young	19	4	7	2	40
Chelsea Gray	12	3	6	2	31
Jewell Loyd	9	3	2	2	19
Cheyenne Parker	5	3	1	1	12

Storm player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	18	10	3	1	43
N. Hiedeman	15	3	5	2	31
F. Johnson	14	5	3	2	30
Zia Cooke	11	3	2	1	20
Awa Fam	9	5	2	1	23

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's action between the Storm and Aces at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 79.0% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.