Sparks vs. Wings prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Thursday's WNBA game [9/17/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Wings a 73.4% chance of beating the Sparks. According to our model, the Sparks (+8.5) have a 57.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 50.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sparks +8.5 (+117) / Wings -8.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Sparks +400, Wings -335
• Total: Over/Under 177.5 (-110/+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sparks +8.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Sparks @ 20¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Under 177.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sparks +8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Thursday's Los Angeles vs. Dallas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.

Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	3	1	35
Rae Burrell	14	3	3	2	26
Dearica Hamby	13	7	2	0	29
Ariel Atkins	9	3	3	1	24
Erica Wheeler	9	2	4	2	23

Wings player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	19	4	6	2	38
A. Ogunbowale	16	3	3	2	29
Jessica Shepard	13	10	4	0	34
Aziaha James	9	4	2	1	20
Odyssey Sims	9	2	2	1	18

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's action between the Wings and Sparks at College Park Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings
• Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: College Park Center

Conclusion

We predict the Wings, with a 73.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.