Mystics vs. Sky prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [9/17/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mystics a 50.5% chance of defeating the Sky. According to our model, the Sky (+3.5) have a 58.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 58.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics -3.5 (-110) / Sky +3.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Mystics -113, Sky +111
• Total: Over/Under 165.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky +3.5 @ -110 via Fanatics
• Moneyline: Sky @ 47¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 165.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 165.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Looking for Mystics vs. Sky WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 16 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Natasha Cloud is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sky.

For early game action, the data identifies Shakira Austin as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	16	10	3	1	39
Kiki Iriafen	15	10	2	0	33
Georgia Amoore	9	2	3	3	20
M. Onyenwere	9	3	2	1	18
Lauren Betts	6	4	1	0	17

Sky player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Natasha Cloud	15	3	4	2	29
Kamilla Cardoso	13	8	2	0	32
Sydney Taylor	11	2	2	2	19
Azura Stevens	10	8	2	1	28
C. Vandersloot	9	3	5	1	25

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's game between the Sky and Mystics at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 50.5% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.