Sep 22, 2026
WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jackie Young [9/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/22.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, September 22, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Jackie Young and Gabby Williams lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 22, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.1% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 16.8% probability
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 16.4% probability
- Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 15.2% probability
- Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 14.9% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 14.9% probability
- Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 13.7% probability
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 13.6% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 13.5% probability
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 13.1% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.0% probability
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 12.8% probability
- Kamilla Cardoso (Sky): 12.7% probability
- Sydney Taylor (Sky): 12.7% probability
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 12.1% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 12.0% probability
- Carla Leite (Fire): 11.9% probability
- Megan DiLeo (Fire): 11.8% probability
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 11.6% probability
- Napheesa Collier (Lynx): 10.8% probability
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 10.7% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 10.6% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.2% probability
- Diamond Miller (Sun): 10.2% probability
- Isabelle Harrison (Tempo): 9.9% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 9.6% probability
- Emma Cannon (Sparks): 9.6% probability
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 9.2% probability
- Leila Lacan (Sun): 9.1% probability
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 9.1% probability
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 9.1% probability
- Temi Fagbenle (Tempo): 8.9% probability
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 8.3% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.0% probability
- Aicha Coulibaly (Sky): 7.9% probability
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 7.7% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.6% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 7.5% probability
- Gabriela Jaquez (Sky): 7.5% probability
- Nell Angloma (Sun): 7.4% probability
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 7.0% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.4% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 6.1% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 5.5% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.3% probability
- Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 5.1% probability
- Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 5.1% probability
- Julie Allemand (Tempo): 4.8% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 3.8% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 2.0% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 22, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 4.3% edge at +700
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 3.6% edge at +900
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 3.1% edge at +900
- Emma Cannon (Sparks): 2.5% edge at +1300
- Olivia Miles (Lynx): 2.1% edge at +950
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 2.1% edge at +900
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 1.7% edge at +800
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 1.7% edge at +1400
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 1.3% edge at +1180
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.3% edge at +1100
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 1.2% edge at +1500
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 0.5% edge at +700
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 0.2% edge at +850
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 0.1% edge at +850
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 0.0% edge at +1200
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/22.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Tuesday, September 22, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Gabby Williams lead our first basket projections, with Young shaping as the strongest value play at +700. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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