College football picks today: Week 11 Saturday best bets include Utah State vs. San Diego State play [11/14/2026]

Utah State vs. San Diego State Over 43.5 points (+102)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Utah State vs. San Diego State (9:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 43.5 points in Utah State vs. San Diego State at 50¢ odds. A 57.5% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Valparaiso vs. Stetson Over 54.5 points (+113)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Valparaiso vs. Stetson (3:30PM ET)

Valparaiso vs. Stetson over 54.5 points carries a 7.8% edge and a probability of 54.8% at 47¢ odds, according to our model.

Princeton +3.5 (46¢)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Princeton vs. Yale (12:00PM ET)

Princeton +3.5 vs. Yale at 46¢ odds shows a 7.6% edge, supported by a 54.1% probability in simulations.

Michigan vs. Oregon over 38.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Michigan vs. Oregon (3:30PM ET)

A 7.5% edge and 58% probability make Michigan vs. Oregon over 38.5 points a value play in the Michigan vs. Oregon matchup, per our model.

East Texas A&M vs. Lamar Over 51.5 points (+120)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: East Texas A&M vs. Lamar (4:00PM ET)

East Texas A&M vs. Lamar Over 51.5 points at 46¢ presents a 7.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.8%.

Western Illinois ML (-199)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 73.7%
• Matchup: Gardner-Webb vs. Western Illinois (2:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Western Illinois to win at 66¢, supported by an edge of 7.2%.

Alabama State ML (+113)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Jackson State vs. Alabama State (3:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Jackson State-Alabama State to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 47¢. A 54.1% probability produces a 7.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Columbia vs. Brown Over 40.5 points (-114)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Matchup: Columbia vs. Brown (12:00PM ET)

A 6.9% edge on a 60.2% probability makes Over 40.5 points at -114a solid value play in today's Columbia vs. Brown matchup.

Alabama State +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Jackson State vs. Alabama State (3:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Alabama State +1.5 at -105. A 58% probability produces a 6.8% edge, making Alabama State the favorable side in today's matchup.

North Dakota State vs. Hawaii Over 38.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Jackson State vs. Alabama State (11:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, North Dakota State vs. Hawaii Over 38.5 points at 51¢ shows a 57.3% probability and a 6.3% edge.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 11/14/2026

As of 5:33AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Northwestern vs. Ohio State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Wake Forest vs. Southern Methodist (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Duke vs. Miami Florida (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Wisconsin vs. Maryland (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Syracuse vs. North Carolina State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• James Madison vs. Connecticut (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Cincinnati vs. Iowa State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Central Connecticut State vs. Long Island University (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Towson vs. Rhode Island (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Columbia vs. Brown (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

College football offer for Week 11

Make the most of the picks in this article, including Over 43.5 points, with the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for November 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 43.5 points in the Utah State vs. San Diego State matchup and over 54.5 points in the Valparaiso vs. Stetson matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.