College football player props today: Week 6 Thursday best props include Solomon Baggett [10/8/2026]

Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 22.4%
• Probability: 75.7%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Arkansas State's Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards. A probability of 75.7% gives this play an edge of 22.4% at -114 odds.

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas over 3.5 receptions (-102)

• Edge: 21.1%
• Probability: 71.6%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas’s receptions prop shows a 71.6% probability and an 21.1% edge at -102 odds, according to our model.

Ajay Allen under 64.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ajay Allen under 64.5 rushing yards, with simulations showing a 66.6% probability and a 13.3% edge at -114.

D.J. Crowther anytime touchdown scorer (-130)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: South Florida vs. UTSA (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on D.J. Crowther to score a touchdown, with a 66.4% probability and an edge of 9.9% at -130 odds.

Hunter Summers under 72.5 receptions (-136)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Hunter Summers under 72.5 receptions for Arkansas State, showing an edge of 8.2% at -136 odds.

Jonathan Stafford Jr. under 81.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky (7:00PM ET)

Jonathan Stafford Jr.’s receiving yards prop shows an edge of 10.2% at -114 odds, supported by a 63.4% probability according to our model.

Kenyon Clay anytime touchdown scorer (-120)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Kenyon Clay anytime touchdown scorer for Arkansas State, with a 63.4% probability and a 8.8% edge at -120 odds.

D.J. Crowther over 36.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: South Florida vs. UTSA (7:30PM ET)

The data shows value on D.J. Crowther over 36.5 rushing yards, supported by a 63.2% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 9.9%.

AJ Wilson under 17.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: South Florida vs. UTSA (7:30PM ET)

A 9.2% edge on the under 36.5 receiving yards line makes AJ Wilson a value play in South Florida vs. UTSA, supported by a 62.4% probability at -114 odds.

Jeremiah Jones-Thomas over 262.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State (7:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jeremiah Jones-Thomas over 262.5 receiving yards here, with a 61.5% probability and 8.2% edge at -114 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:51AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

College football promo for Week 6

Today's player props include Solomon Baggett under 58.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

For October 8, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Solomon Baggett, Jeremiah Jones-Thomas and Ajay Allen. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.