San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/28/2026]

San Jose will square off with Colorado in the MLS Cup first round at PayPal Park on Wednesday, commencing at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects San Jose as the most likely winner in this San Jose vs. Colorado prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS game between San Jose and Colorado, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 45.5% chance of San Jose winning, a 30.1% chance for Colorado, and a 24.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Colorado +217, San Jose +133
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+145)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: San Jose @ +133 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +145 via BetRivers

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• San Jose 1-1 Colorado (11.4% probability)
• San Jose 2-1 Colorado (9.3%)
• San Jose 1-0 Colorado (8.9%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS game between San Jose and Colorado in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30 PM PT
• Venue: PayPal Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, San Jose has a 45.5% win probability on Wednesday, Colorado has a 30.1% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.