Sun vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [7/28/2026]
Get Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at CareFirst Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Mystics as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Mystics prediction game.
The Mystics, with the likes of Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Sun, who feature Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Diamond Miller.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 72.8% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+6.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 160.5 points has a 56.8% chance of going over,.
Sun vs. Mystics odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-108) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -210 |
| Total | o160.5 (-110) | u160.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +6.5 | hard_rock-108 |
| Moneyline | Mystics | -210 |
| Total | Over 160.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Mystics player props
WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Tuesday's Sun vs. Mystics game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Leila Lacan is expected to lead the Sun with 12 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mystics.
When evaluating the first basket market, Shakira Austin is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 41 |
| Sonia Citron | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| M. Onyenwere | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Lauren Betts | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
Sun vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Mystics and Sun at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Mystics, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
