Updated WNBA Championship Predictions at All-Star Break: Who will win 2026 WNBA Finals?
It's the WNBA All-Star Break, which means it's the perfect time to take stock of the WNBA Championship market and see which teams hold value to win it all.
WNBA betting pauses as the league goes on a brief hiatus for the WNBA All-Star Break, presenting the perfect time to reassess the league's futures landscape to find the best value to win it all.
Just as we did last season by correctly picking the Aces to win it all at their midseason odds of +2000 using the Dimers WNBA Futures, we're looking at which teams are mispriced on the sportsbooks compared to our predictions.
A WNBA props sweep! 🧹
— Dimers (@DimersCom) July 23, 2026
A'ja 25+ PTS ✅
Mitchell 23+ PTS ✅
Fudd 3+ 3PM ✅
Jones 10+ REB ✅
And cash the +1794 parlay - a darn good way to hit the All-Star Break! https://t.co/cZhpizkV41
How to bet on the WNBA with Dimers Pro
All season long, Dimers Pro subscribers have access to daily WNBA best bets, player props, projections and of course, our WNBA futures as seen in this article.
To be ready for the season when it returns after the All-Star Break, you can get a 3-day free trial of Dimers Pro both here and in the brand-new Dimers App.
Claim before the league returns on July 28!
The WNBA Championship favorite: Minnesota Lynx (+110 on FanDuel)
Sitting well above the rest at the top of the board both on the sportsbook and according to the Dimers model, are the Lynx, one of the season's early favorites and currently a 26.5% probability to win it all by our model.
Minnesota lost in the Finals in 2024, and the semifinals last year, but retained one of the league's best rosters from last season, also adding veteran forward Natasha Howard and OROY favorite Olivia Miles in the draft. Though they were without star Napheesa Collier until their final game before the break, Minnesota has rolled to the league's best record behind a career-best season by Kayla McBride and Miles' outstanding play.
Now, they have one of the league's best players back and should be even better, unquestionably the team to beat down the stretch.
However, at +110, their implied probability is 47.6%, more than 20% higher than our model's prediction of 26.5%, showing there's no value on Minnesota at this point.
Compare that to their 41% probability on Polymarket, and you can see the public isn't as high on the Lynx either, but not nearly as skeptical as our model.
However, if you are going to invest in the Lynx, Polymarket would be the place as compared to the traditional sportsbooks, with 41% around +143 at traditional odds and the best price available.
To trade on the Lynx at Polymarket, you can sign up with Polymarket promo code DIMERS to earn a $20 bonus when trade your first $10.
Best Bets to win the 2026 WNBA Championship
The Lynx may be rightly favored but it's the value we're looking for, as that's how we managed to snag the Aces at such a good price last year.
Each of these three teams has odds longer than our probability says they should be, and two of them were featured in our preseason look, with one of those teams getting shorter and the other getting longer.
1. Golden State Valkyries (+900 on FanDuel)
Current record: 19-8, second in Western Conference
Preseason championship probability: 2.8%
Current championship probability: 13.8%
The Valkyries' second-year expansion story has been remarkable, and while the books have caught up to them from their preseason longshot odds, they maintain a significant edge with our 13.8% probability identifying fair odds of +625.
Golden State extended its franchise-record win streak to nine in a row, before finally losing in their last game before the break, by far the best record in the league during that span.
They notched their 40th win in just 68 games, becoming the fastest expansion team in WNBA history to reach that mark, and they're holding opponents to a league-low 76.2 points per game with the top defensive rating in the WNBA.
Standout scorer Gabby Williams and bench star Janelle Salaun have steered Golden State to a contender, and team worth betting on at the break.
2. Indiana Fever (+1600 on DraftKings)
Current record: 17-10, first in Eastern Conference
Preseason championship probability: 15.8%
Current championship probability: 10.3%
Indiana enters the stretch run playing some of its best basketball, though they now hold a lower chance to win the championship than they did preseason.
Fortunately, the odds have lengthened as well, retaining the edge we're looking for. At 10.3%, fair odds on the Fever would be about +900 and you can get close to double that at +1600 on DraftKings.
When healthy, the Kelsey Mitchell/Caitlin Clark duo is electric. Kelsey Mitchell is the hottest three-point shooter in the WNBA, Clark just tallied the first 45-point 10-assist game in league history, and led the team to a franchise record 123 points in their final game before the break.
Injuries are the biggest question; Clark's recurring back issues could change this team's trajectory at any time, but that's part of the game, and our model says these odds don't accurately reflect this team at its best.
3. Dallas Wings (+2200 on DraftKings)
Current record: 18-9, fourth in Western Conference
Preseason championship probability: 3.1%
Current championship probability: 9.1%
If there was a single bet to make preseason, it was without a doubt the Dallas Wings.
At +4000 odds, they presented our biggest value at a 3.1% probability. Now at 9.1%, nearly triple the probability, the books have adjusted, but not nearly enough.
Dallas has been one of the league's most consistent teams all year, and one of its hottest for stretches of the season, powered by second-year sensation Paige Bueckers, Most Improved Player favorite Jessica Shepard and emerging rookie star Azzi Fudd.
The only thing holding Dallas back is how they've shown the most struggles against top-tier teams in the West with a 2-5 record against the Lynx, Aces and Valkyries, but if they continue their trajectory, they should avoid playing any of them for at least the opening round of the playoffs.
More on WNBA
- WNBA Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game, every day
- WNBA Best Bets: Top picks for every individual matchup
- Best WNBA Props: Player prop edges from our predictive analytics model
- WNBA Projections Hub: Boxscore projections for every player in every game
- WNBA Futures Odds: Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Stay informed with the latest WNBA betting news from Dimers throughout the season.
Responsible Gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you’re taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don’t be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
