Wings vs. Storm prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Wednesday's WNBA game [9/23/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 78.5% win probability for the Wings at Climate Pledge Arena.

The Seattle Storm will take on the favored Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner in this Wings vs. Storm prediction.
The Storm, with star players such as Flau'jae Johnson, Dominique Malonga and Natisha Hiedeman, will face off against the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 3 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Storm prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Wings a 78.5% chance of beating the Storm. According to our model, the Wings (-7.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 52.8% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Wings -7.5 (-105) / Storm +7.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Wings -292, Storm +285
- Total: Over/Under 173.5 (+100/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Wings -7.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Wings @ 74¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 173.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Top player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Wings vs. Storm matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Flau'jae Johnson is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Storm.
When evaluating the first basket market, Paige Bueckers is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings player props
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 18 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Jessica Shepard | 13 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 37 |
| Awak Kuier | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Storm player props
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Johnson | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| D. Malonga | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| N. Hiedeman | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| Awa Fam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
Game info & tip-off details
Wednesday's action between the Storm and Wings at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 78.5% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



