Sep 24, 2026
WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Caitlin Clark [9/24/2026]
Read Article Valkyries vs. Sparks prediction favors Golden State to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects an 89.1% win probability for the Valkyries at Crypto.com Arena.
The Los Angeles Sparks will square off with the favored Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner in this Valkyries vs. Sparks prediction.
The Sparks, who have the likes of Nneka Ogwumike, Rae Burrell and Dearica Hamby, are set to take on the Valkyries, whose lineup includes Gabby Williams, Tiffany Hayes and Veronica Burton.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Sparks prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Valkyries an 89.1% chance of beating the Sparks. According to our model, the Valkyries (-11.5) have a 56.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 59.8% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Valkyries -11.5 (+104) / Sparks +11.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Valkyries -471, Sparks +456
- Total: Over/Under 158.5 (-107/+104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Valkyries -11.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Valkyries @ 82¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 158.5 @ -107 via Caesars
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 158.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Top player props
Betting on Valkyries vs. Sparks WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 14 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
When evaluating the first basket market, Gabby Williams is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries player props
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 31 |
| Janelle Salaun | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Kaila Charles | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Sparks player props
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 35 |
| Rae Burrell | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Dearica Hamby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Erica Wheeler | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| Ariel Atkins | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Game info & tip-off details
Thursday's matchup between the Sparks and Valkyries at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with an 89.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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