Sky vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Sky and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mystics an 80.6% chance of beating the Sky. According to our model, the Sky (+13.5) have a 65.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 56.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sky +13.5 (+100) / Mystics -13.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Sky +700, Mystics -733
• Total: Over/Under 168.5 (-102/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky +13.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Sky @ 12¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 168.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Sky vs. Mystics matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.

Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 13 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mystics.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kiki Iriafen striking first with a 13.6% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	13	3	3	2	26
Kamilla Cardoso	12	8	2	0	30
C. Vandersloot	9	3	6	1	27
Gabriela Jaquez	9	4	2	1	20
E. Williams	7	5	2	0	21

Mystics player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	16	9	2	1	37
Sonia Citron	15	3	5	2	32
Kiki Iriafen	13	8	1	0	29
Georgia Amoore	12	2	4	4	24
Lauren Betts	9	6	2	0	24

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's action between the Mystics and Sky at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with an 80.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.