Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Sky vs. Mystics play [9/24/2026]

Sky +13.5 (+100)

• Edge: 15.8%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Sky +13.5 at 50¢ odds. A 65.8% probability produces an edge of 15.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Valkyries vs. Sparks Over 158.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Valkyries vs. Sparks over 158.5 points carries an 8.7% edge and a probability of 59.9% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Valkyries -11.5 (+104)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Valkyries -11.5 vs. Sparks at 49¢ odds shows a 8.2% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

Sky ML (+700)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 19.4%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

A 6.9% edge and 19.4% probability makes Sky at the moneyline a value play in the Sky vs. Mystics matchup, per our model.

Valkyries ML (-471)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 89.3%
• Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Valkyries ML at 82¢ presents a 6.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 89.3%.

Mercury +9.5 (+113)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mercury +9.5 at 47¢, supported by an edge of 6.1%.

Sky vs. Mystics Over 168.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Sky vs. Mystics Over 168.5 points at 50¢. A 56% probability produces a 5.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Fever vs. Lynx Under 182.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)

A 4.5% edge on a 54.5% probability makes Under 182.5 points at 50¢a solid value play in today's Fever vs. Lynx matchup.

Tempo +1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Tempo +1.5 at 48¢. A 51.5% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Tempo the favorable side in today's matchup.

Tempo vs. Sun Over 169.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Tempo vs. Sun Over 169.5 points at 50¢ shows a 53.2% probability and a 3.2% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 9/24/2026

As of 12:39PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [9/24/2026]

• Tempo vs. Sun (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Fever vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Valkyries vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for September 24, 2026, featuring plays such as Sky +13.5 vs. Mystics and over 158.5 points in the Valkyries vs. Sparks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.