WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, September 24, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/24.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, September 24, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections derive insights from detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Gabby Williams and Jackie Young lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 24, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 16.7% probability
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 16.2% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 15.9% probability
- Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 14.7% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 14.3% probability
- Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 13.8% probability
- Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 13.7% probability
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 13.7% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.6% probability
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 13.0% probability
- Kamilla Cardoso (Sky): 12.6% probability
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 12.4% probability
- Sydney Taylor (Sky): 12.3% probability
- Napheesa Collier (Lynx): 12.3% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 12.3% probability
- Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 12.2% probability
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 12.2% probability
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 12.0% probability
- Isabelle Harrison (Tempo): 11.0% probability
- Natasha Mack (Mercury): 10.8% probability
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 10.7% probability
- Diamond Miller (Sun): 10.5% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.3% probability
- Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 10.0% probability
- Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 9.8% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 9.8% probability
- Gabriela Jaquez (Sky): 9.7% probability
- Raegan Beers (Sun): 9.6% probability
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 9.3% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 9.1% probability
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 8.9% probability
- Leila Lacan (Sun): 8.7% probability
- Maria Conde (Tempo): 8.7% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.2% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 8.0% probability
- Alexa Held (Mercury): 7.9% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.9% probability
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 7.8% probability
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 7.7% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 7.5% probability
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 7.5% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.9% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 6.6% probability
- Elizabeth Williams (Sky): 6.1% probability
- Maya Caldwell (Lynx): 5.8% probability
- Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 5.6% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.2% probability
- Julie Allemand (Tempo): 5.2% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 3.6% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.7% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (September 24, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 4.1% edge at +750
- Rae Burrell (Sparks): 3.7% edge at +1100
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 2.7% edge at +1800
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 2.2% edge at +1300
- Courtney Williams (Lynx): 1.8% edge at +1300
- Kayla McBride (Lynx): 1.5% edge at +990
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.4% edge at +1200
- Gabriela Jaquez (Sky): 1.3% edge at +1100
- Raegan Beers (Sun): 1.2% edge at +1100
- Natasha Howard (Lynx): 1.1% edge at +800
- Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 1.0% edge at +1400
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 0.8% edge at +1020
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 0.6% edge at +1360
- Sydney Taylor (Sky): 0.6% edge at +750
- Kiki Rice (Tempo): 0.5% edge at +700
- Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 0.4% edge at +650
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 0.3% edge at +1300
- Alexa Held (Mercury): 0.2% edge at +1200
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/24.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Thursday, September 24, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Gabby Williams and Jackie Young lead our first basket projections, with Young shaping as the strongest value play at +750. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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