Fever vs. Lynx prediction sees Caitlin Clark projected to score 24 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Fever and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Fever a 65.5% chance of defeating the Lynx. According to our model, the Lynx (+4.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 54.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fever -4.5 (+102) / Lynx +4.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Fever -165, Lynx +167
• Total: Over/Under 182.5 (-108/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fever -4.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Fever @ -165 via BetMGM
• Total: Under 182.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Indiana vs. Minnesota game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 25 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Napheesa Collier is projected to have 15 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Lynx.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14.3% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	25	2	3	3	38
Caitlin Clark	24	4	10	3	52
Aliyah Boston	15	8	3	1	36
S. Cunningham	6	3	1	2	14
Makayla Timpson	6	6	1	0	20

Lynx player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Collier	15	6	2	1	31
Kayla McBride	14	3	2	2	25
C. Williams	11	4	4	1	26
Natasha Howard	9	5	2	0	23
Maya Caldwell	7	4	2	1	19

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's game between the Lynx and Fever at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 65.5% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.