Fire vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA game [7/28/2026]
Get Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Las Vegas Aces and Portland Fire will meet in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Fire vs. Aces prediction game.
The Aces, powered by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, are set to take on the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Aces an 85.0% chance of defeating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+12.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 176.5-point over/under has a 56.3% chance of staying under,.
Fire vs. Aces odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-108) | -12.5 (+104) |
| Moneyline | +614 | -669 |
| Total | o176.5 (-108) | u176.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +12.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +614 |
| Total | Under 176.5 | +104 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Aces player props
Betting on Portland vs. Las Vegas WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 35 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.
When evaluating the first basket market, A'ja Wilson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 30 |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| B. Carleton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Frieda Buhner | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 35 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 64 |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 35 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Jewell Loyd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Fire vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Aces and Fire at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
