Tempo vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [7/28/2026]
Get Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Minnesota Lynx and Toronto Tempo are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Target Center on Tuesday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Tempo vs. Lynx prediction game.
The Lynx, with the likes of Kayla McBride, Napheesa Collier and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Tempo, who feature Marina Mabrey, Laura Juskaite and Maria Conde.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 90.2% chance of defeating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Tempo (+16.5) have a 58.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 186.5-point over/under has a 72.5% chance of staying under,.
Tempo vs. Lynx odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (+111) | -16.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +953 | -1011 |
| Total | o186.5 (+100) | u186.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +16.5 | +111 |
| Moneyline | Tempo | +953 |
| Total | Under 186.5 | -104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 186.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Lynx player props
Betting on Tempo vs. Lynx WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kayla McBride is projected to have 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 17.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Laura Juskaite | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Maria Conde | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Kiki Rice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
| Julie Allemand | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 25 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| N. Collier | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Olivia Miles | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
Tempo vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Lynx and Tempo at Target Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 90.2% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
