Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction favors Seattle to win SNF Week 7 [2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 59.2% win probability for the Seahawks at Lumen Field.

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Seattle Seahawks in NFL action.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL prediction for Sunday, October 25, 2026.

The Seattle Seahawks will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 7 action at Lumen Field on Sunday, beginning at 8:20 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Seahawks as the most likely winner in this Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction and odds

Since our Chiefs-Seahawks predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Seahawks, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 59.2% chance of defeating the Chiefs in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 22-20.

Key factors favoring the Seahawks:

  • Seahawks team rating
  • Seahawks defense
  • Seahawks home-field advantage

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Chiefs and Seahawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 51.9% chance of going over.

Key factors making the over more likely are::

  • Chiefs recent performance
  • Playing conditions
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Chiefs +2.5 (+115) / Seahawks -2.5 (-117)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs +138, Seahawks -141
  • Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Chiefs +2.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Seahawks @ 59¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 42.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chiefs +2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Chiefs vs. Seahawks TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Chiefs vs. Seahawks?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 7, Kenneth Walker is most likely to score an anytime TD in Chiefs vs. Seahawks.

Our projections give Walker a 50.6% chance of scoring a TD at Lumen Field, while the running back is a 14.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker (RB): 50.6% probability
  • Travis Kelce (TE): 27.0%
  • Xavier Worthy (WR): 25.2%
  • Jalen Royals (WR): 17.1%
  • Patrick Mahomes (QB): 14.5%

Seattle Seahawks

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 50.2% prob.
  • Emanuel Wilson (RB): 40.9%
  • AJ Barner (TE): 22.5%
  • George Holani (RB): 18.6%
  • Cooper Kupp (WR): 17.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker (RB): 14.7% prob.
  • Travis Kelce (TE): 6.5%
  • Xavier Worthy (WR): 6.0%
  • Jalen Royals (WR): 3.9%
  • Patrick Mahomes (QB): 3.3%

Seattle Seahawks

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 13.6% prob.
  • Emanuel Wilson (RB): 10.3%
  • AJ Barner (TE): 5.0%
  • George Holani (RB): 4.0%
  • Cooper Kupp (WR): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Seahawks. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 221 passing yards, while the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is expected to throw for 223 yards.

Chiefs rushing

  • Kenneth Walker: 83 yds
  • Patrick Mahomes: 22 yds
  • Emmett Johnson: 11 yds

Seahawks rushing

  • Emanuel Wilson: 54 yds
  • George Holani: 20 yds
  • Velus Jones: 12 yds

Chiefs receiving

  • Xavier Worthy: 55 yds
  • Travis Kelce: 46 yds
  • Jalen Royals: 27 yds
  • Kenneth Walker: 24 yds
  • Noah Gray: 20 yds

Seahawks receiving

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 95 yds
  • Cooper Kupp: 31 yds
  • Rashid Shaheed: 31 yds
  • AJ Barner: 28 yds
  • Tory Horton: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 matchup between the Seahawks and Chiefs at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 8:20 PM ET.

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Make the most of Dimers' Chiefs vs. Seahawks predictions by exploring the below DraftKings Sportsbook offer:


Conclusion

We predict the Seahawks, with a 59.2% win probability, will likely beat the Chiefs in Week 7 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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