Flames vs. Kraken prediction favors Seattle to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Kraken, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Kraken a 57.6% chance of beating the Flames. According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 65.2% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Flames +1.5 (-175) / Kraken -1.5 (+165)
• Moneyline: Flames +140, Kraken -155
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-115/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Flames +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Flames @ +140 via BetMGM
• Total: Over 5.5 @ -115 via ESPN BET

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Flames vs. Kraken player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Kraken?

According to our model, Bobby McMann is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Kraken.

Our projections give McMann a 32.9% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 24.6% probability
• Joel Farabee: 22.3% probability
• Maxim Tsyplakov: 22.1% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 21.6% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 21.4% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 32.9% probability
• Jared McCann: 30.1% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 27.5% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 20.4% probability
• Matty Beniers: 19.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 5.4% probability
• Joel Farabee: 4.1% probability
• Maxim Tsyplakov: 4.0% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 3.8% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 3.7% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 7.0% probability
• Jared McCann: 6.7% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 5.9% probability
• Matty Beniers: 3.6% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Sunday's game between the Kraken and Flames at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Kraken, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.