NHL player props today: Monday's best props include Trevor Zegras [10/5/2026]

Trevor Zegras to score a point (+115)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Flyers' Trevor Zegras going over 0.5 a point. A probability of 50.2% gives this play an edge of 3.7% at +115 odds.

Evgeni Malkin to record an assist (+125)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Game: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET)

Evgeni Malkin’s an assist prop shows a 48.3% probability and an 3.9% edge at +125 odds, according to our model.

Shane Pinto to score a point (+130)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 46.5%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Shane Pinto to score a point, with simulations showing a 46.5% probability and a 3.1% edge at +130.

Claude Giroux to score a point (+135)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 44.6%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Claude Giroux to score a point, with a 44.6% probability and an edge of 2.0% at +135 odds.

Wyatt Johnston anytime goal scorer (+145)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 44.4%
• Game: Sharks vs. Stars (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Wyatt Johnston as an anytime goal scorer for Stars, showing an edge of 3.6% at +145 odds.

Nikita Kucherov anytime goal scorer (+150)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Nikita Kucherov’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 2.2% at +150 odds, supported by a 42.2% probability according to our model.

Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer (+165)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 39.0%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brandon Hagel anytime goal scorer for Lightning, with a 39.0% probability and a 1.3% edge at +165 odds.

Kyle Connor anytime goal scorer (+170)

• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 38.5%
• Game: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Kyle Connor anytime goal scorer, supported by a 38.5% probability at +170 odds and an edge of 1.5%.

Christian Dvorak to score a point (+175)

• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 38.1%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

A 1.7% edge on the point line makes Christian Dvorak a value play in Flyers vs. Lightning, supported by a 38.1% probability at +175 odds.

Trevor Zegras to score a point (+210)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 35.5%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Trevor Zegras to score a point here, with a 35.5% probability and 3.3% edge at +210 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, October 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:51PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 5, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Trevor Zegras, Evgeni Malkin and Shane Pinto. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.