Panthers vs. Ducks prediction: Why Florida is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Panthers and Ducks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 53.3% chance of beating the Ducks. According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 67.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Panthers -1.5 (+185) / Ducks +1.5 (-190)
• Moneyline: Panthers -134, Ducks +121
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-115/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Ducks +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Ducks @ +121 via Caesars
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +105 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Panthers vs. Ducks player props

Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Ducks?

According to our model, Tristan Luneau is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Ducks.

Our projections give Luneau a 49.1% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 10.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Florida Panthers

• Sam Reinhart: 37.4% probability
• Brady Tkachuk: 32.8% probability
• Sam Bennett: 31.4% probability
• Matthew Tkachuk: 30.2% probability
• Brad Marchand: 28.7% probability

Anaheim Ducks

• Tristan Luneau: 49.1% probability
• Cutter Gauthier: 36.5% probability
• Leo Carlsson: 28.2% probability
• Beckett Sennecke: 23.7% probability
• Mikael Granlund: 21.6% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Florida Panthers

• Sam Reinhart: 7.8% probability
• Sam Bennett: 6.2% probability
• Brady Tkachuk: 6.0% probability
• Matthew Tkachuk: 5.9% probability
• Carter Verhaeghe: 5.2% probability

Anaheim Ducks

• Tristan Luneau: 10.6% probability
• Cutter Gauthier: 7.4% probability
• Leo Carlsson: 4.8% probability
• Beckett Sennecke: 4.1% probability
• Mikael Granlund: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Sunday's game between the Ducks and Panthers at Honda Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Florida Panthers vs. Anaheim Ducks
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Honda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 53.3% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.