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Read Article Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction favors Rangers to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.5% win probability for the Rangers at Madison Square Garden.
The NY Rangers will square off with the Utah Mammoth, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, commencing at 6:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 51.5% win probability over the Mammoth.
This article offers a complete Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Mammoth and the Rangers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 51.5% chance of defeating the Mammoth. According to our model, the Mammoth (+1.5) have a 69.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Mammoth +1.5 (-245) / Rangers -1.5 (+215)
- Moneyline: Mammoth +100, Rangers -118
- Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-115/+102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Rangers -1.5 @ +215 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Mammoth @ +100 via bet365
- Total: Over 5.5 @ -115 via Caesars
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Mammoth vs. Rangers player props
Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Rangers?
According to our model, Dylan Guenther is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Rangers.
Our projections give Guenther a 38.6% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is an 8.1% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
- Dylan Guenther: 38.6% probability
- Nick Schmaltz: 31.3% probability
- Logan Cooley: 27.9% probability
- Clayton Keller: 26.4% probability
- Lawson Crouse: 21.4% probability
NY Rangers
- Pavel Dorofeyev: 34.7% probability
- Mika Zibanejad: 33.5% probability
- Alexis Lafreniere: 26.2% probability
- J.T. Miller: 20.7% probability
- Gabe Perreault: 20.1% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
- Dylan Guenther: 8.1% probability
- Nick Schmaltz: 5.9% probability
- Logan Cooley: 5.1% probability
- Clayton Keller: 4.7% probability
- Michael Carcone: 3.6% probability
NY Rangers
- Pavel Dorofeyev: 6.9% probability
- Mika Zibanejad: 6.1% probability
- Alexis Lafreniere: 5.0% probability
- Will Cuylle: 4.1% probability
- J.T. Miller: 4.1% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Sunday's game between the Rangers and Mammoth at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Mammoth vs. NY Rangers
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Rangers, with a 51.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mammoth in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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