Jets vs. Red Wings prediction favors Detroit to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Jets and Red Wings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Red Wings a 50.4% chance of beating the Jets. According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jets -112, Red Wings +104
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Red Wings @ +104 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 5.5 @ +105 via ESPN BET

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Jets vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Jets vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 46.7% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is an 11.3% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

• Kyle Connor: 37.5% probability
• Mark Scheifele: 37.0% probability
• Gabriel Vilardi: 30.1% probability
• Cole Perfetti: 18.9% probability
• Morgan Barron: 16.3% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 46.7% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 35.5% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 30.6% probability
• Justin Faulk: 15.8% probability
• Andrew Copp: 15.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

• Kyle Connor: 8.5% probability
• Mark Scheifele: 7.6% probability
• Gabriel Vilardi: 5.8% probability
• Cole Perfetti: 2.9% probability
• Morgan Barron: 2.7% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 11.3% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 7.8% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 6.6% probability
• Justin Faulk: 3.3% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 3.2% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Sunday's action between the Red Wings and Jets at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Winnipeg Jets vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 50.4% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.