College football picks today: Week 10 Thursday best bets include UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic play [11/5/2026]

Florida Atlantic +6.5 (+122)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Matchup: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Florida Atlantic +6.5 at 45¢ odds. A 51.1% probability produces an edge of 6.1%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Florida Atlantic ML (+260)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 32.9%
• Matchup: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)

Florida Atlantic ML carries a 5.2% edge and a probability of 32.9% at +260 odds, according to our model.

UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic Under 70.5 points (46¢)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Matchup: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)

UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic Under 70.5 points at 46¢ odds shows a 3.8% edge, supported by a 49.8% probability in simulations.

South Carolina State vs. Howard over 50.5 points (+160)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 41.1%
• Matchup: South Carolina State vs. Howard (7:30PM ET)

A 2.6% edge and 41.1% probability make South Carolina State vs. Howard over 50.5 points a value play in the South Carolina State vs. Howard matchup, per our model.

Southern Miss +13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: James Madison vs. Southern Miss (8:00PM ET)

Southern Miss +13.5 at -105 presents a 2.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.5%.

Howard +16.5 (+144)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 43.2%
• Matchup: South Carolina State vs. Howard (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Howard +16.5 at 41¢, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

NCAAF best bets summary: Thursday, 11/5/2026

As of 5:02PM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• South Carolina State vs. Howard (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• James Madison vs. Southern Miss (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

College football offer for Week 10

Make the most of the picks in this article, including Florida Atlantic +6.5, with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for November 5, 2026, featuring plays such as Florida Atlantic +6.5 vs. UTSA and Florida Atlantic ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.