UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic prediction favors UTSA to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives UTSA a 67.7% chance of beating Florida Atlantic. Our predicted final score has UTSA winning 38-32. According to our model, Florida Atlantic (+6.5) has a 51.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 70.5 points has a 50.2% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UTSA -6.5 (-125) / Florida Atlantic +6.5 (+122)
• Moneyline: UTSA -251, Florida Atlantic +260
• Total: Over/Under 70.5 (-122/+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Florida Atlantic +6.5 @ 45¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Florida Atlantic @ +260 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 70.5 @ 46¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Florida Atlantic +6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Thursday's college football matchup between Florida Atlantic and UTSA at Flagler Credit Union Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Flagler Credit Union Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict UTSA, with a 67.7% win probability, will likely beat Florida Atlantic in Thursday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.