Polymarket "Trade of the Day" for College Football Week 10 finds value in Iowa vs. Northwestern

Week 10 of college football is here, with college football predictions data from Dimers to back up every move you make from the midweek action through the all-day Saturday slate, whether making long-term championship picks or trading college football on prediction markets.

Prediction markets are on the rise and with more capital moving through platforms like Polymarket than ever before, this is shaping up to be the most-traded college football season yet.

Dimers’ “Trade of the Day” is back for another on Saturday, November 7 in Iowa vs. Northwestern.

To maximize today’s trade value on Polymarket, sign up with the invite code “DIMERS” to get a $25 trading bonus after your initial $10 deposit.

Why trade on Iowa vs. Northwestern in Week 10

Northwestern has one of the most explosive offenses in the Big Ten, with speed on the outside and a habit of putting up huge numbers.

All eight Northwestern games this season have finished with 45 or more combined points, and many of them have landed in the 60s.

Enter Iowa, one of the nation's best defenses over the past several years. The Hawkeyes still play old-school Iowa football and want to win in the trenches.

But one thing has changed over the last month, and that's a surge in QB play.

Hank Brown has turned a corner and looks like the most dynamic quarterback the Hawkeyes have had in the past five years.

Iowa has scored 30 or more points in two of its last three games, and Brown was making plays all over the field in last week’s blowout win over Wisconsin.

With both offenses rolling, our model sees this one going over the number.

Week 10 Trade of the Day: Over 44.5 in Iowa vs. Northwestern

• Dimers probability: 55%
• Polymarket trading price: 52%
• Edge on Polymarket: 3%

Our model gives the over a 55% chance of hitting, and on Polymarket it’s trading at just 52%, so we have a 3% edge over the market price.

Our projected final score of 24-22 adds up to 46 points, which clears the line. Every Northwestern game this season has reached 45, and Iowa’s offense is finally scoring in bunches with Brown under center.

That makes the over 44.5 our trade of the week.

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