College football player props today: Week 10 Thursday best props include AJ Wilson [11/5/2026]
Get college football player props today with projections for Thursday's Week 10 games.

Dimers' college football player props are live for Thursday, November 5, 2026, with AJ Wilson, Mario Sanders and Dominique Henry among the best CFB player props today.
Our in-house college football player props model analyzes player projections and available odds across the FBS to look for betting value, with each pick backed by 20,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
List of college football prop picks for Week 10
Sourced from 70+ total college football props on site today, below are the top 10 college football player props for November 5, ranked by probability.
AJ Wilson under 38.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Edge: 18.5%
- Probability: 71.8%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on UTSA's AJ Wilson under 38.5 receiving yards. A probability of 71.8% gives this play an edge of 18.5% at -114 odds.
AJ Wilson under 2.5 receptions (+116)
- Edge: 22.1%
- Probability: 68.4%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
AJ Wilson’s receptions prop shows a 68.4% probability and an 22.1% edge at +116 odds, according to our model.
Mario Sanders over 5.5 receptions (-114)
- Edge: 12.9%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Game: James Madison vs. Southern Miss (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Mario Sanders over 5.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 66.1% probability and a 12.9% edge at -114.
Dominique Henry under 4.5 receptions (-102)
- Edge: 15.1%
- Probability: 65.6%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
Our model finds value on Dominique Henry under 4.5 receptions, with a 65.6% probability and an edge of 15.1% at -102 odds.
Seth Cromwell under 84.5 rushing yards (-114)
- Edge: 10.2%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: James Madison vs. Southern Miss (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Seth Cromwell under 84.5 rushing yards for James Madison, showing an edge of 10.2% at -114 odds.
Mario Sanders over 69.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 62.5%
- Game: James Madison vs. Southern Miss (8:00PM ET)
Mario Sanders’s receiving yards prop shows an edge of 9.2% at -114 odds, supported by a 62.5% probability according to our model.
DJ Allen Jr. under 33.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
Our model highlights value on DJ Allen Jr. under 33.5 receiving yards for UTSA, with a 62.4% probability and a 9.1% edge at -114 odds.
Kelby Valsin over 6.5 receptions (+112)
- Edge: 13.8%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
The data shows value on Kelby Valsin over 6.5 receptions, supported by a 61.0% probability at +112 odds and an edge of 13.8%.
Mekhi Anderson over 38.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 57.4%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
A 4.1% edge on the over 6.5 receiving yards line makes Mekhi Anderson a value play in UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic, supported by a 57.4% probability at -114 odds.
Mekhi Anderson under 3.5 receptions (+102)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Game: UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic (7:30PM ET)
Simulations show value on Mekhi Anderson under 3.5 receptions here, with a 52.4% probability and 2.8% edge at +102 odds.
College Football player prop summary: Week 10, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:56AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | AJ Wilson under 38.5 receiving yards | -114 @ FanDuel | 18.5% | 71.8% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | AJ Wilson under 2.5 receptions | +116 @ FanDuel | 22.1% | 68.4% |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss | Mario Sanders over 5.5 receptions | -114 @ FanDuel | 15.1% | 65.6% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | Dominique Henry under 4.5 receptions | -102 @ FanDuel | 15.1% | 65.6% |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss | Seth Cromwell under 84.5 rushing yards | -114 @ FanDuel | 10.2% | 63.5% |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss | Mario Sanders over 69.5 receiving yards | -114 @ FanDuel | 9.2% | 62.5% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | DJ Allen Jr. under 33.5 receiving yards | -114 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 62.4% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | Kelby Valsin over 6.5 receptions | +112 @ FanDuel | 13.8% | 61.0% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | Mekhi Anderson over 38.5 receiving yards | -114 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 57.4% |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic | Mekhi Anderson under 3.5 receptions | +102 @ FanDuel | 2.8% | 52.4% |
More college football betting
For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:
College football promo for Week 10
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Conclusion
For November 5, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as AJ Wilson, Mario Sanders and Dominique Henry. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.



