Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/28/2026]

Charlotte and Montreal will lock horns in the MLS Cup first round at Bank of America Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Charlotte as the most likely winner in this Charlotte vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Charlotte and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 67.3% chance of Charlotte winning, a 14.5% chance for Montreal, and an 18.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 64.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +430, Charlotte -170
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-223/+205)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Charlotte @ -170 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +205 via FanDuel

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Charlotte to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Charlotte win being the most probable:

• Charlotte 2-0 Montreal (9.8% probability)
• Charlotte 2-1 Montreal (9.7%)
• Charlotte 1-0 Montreal (8.4%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between Charlotte and Montreal in MLS at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Charlotte has a 67.3% win probability on Wednesday, Montreal has a 14.5% win probability, and there is an 18.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.