Aug 19, 2026
Padres vs. Mets prediction: San Diego favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Chris Bassitt [8/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 19, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Chris Bassitt, Parker Messick and Matthew Liberatore.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Yankees vs. Orioles and D-Backs vs. Red Sox—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Wednesday, 8/19
Sourced from 135+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 19, ranked by probability.
Chris Bassitt over 4.5 hits allowed (-161)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 71.6%
- Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)
Our model has found value on Baltimore's Chris Bassitt over 4.5 hits allowed. A probability of 71.6% gives this play an edge of 9.9% at -161 odds.
Parker Messick under 5.5 hits allowed (-156)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 70.9%
- Game: Giants vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
Parker Messick’s hits allowed prop shows a 70.9% probability and an 9.9% edge at -156 odds, according to our model.
Parker Messick under 18.5 outs recorded (-186)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 68.0%
- Game: Giants vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Parker Messick under 18.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 68.0% probability and a 3.0% edge at -186.
Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed (-129)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 65.3%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed, with a 65.3% probability and an edge of 9.0% at -129 odds.
Dustin May over 1.5 earned runs (-137)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 64.7%
- Game: Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Dustin May over 1.5 earned runs for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 6.9% at -137 odds.
Max Scherzer under 5.5 hits allowed (-146)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)
Max Scherzer’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 5.1% at -146 odds, supported by a 64.4% probability according to our model.
Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts (-145)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Padres vs. Mets (1:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts for San Diego, with a 63.1% probability and a 3.9% edge at -145 odds.
Justin Crawford to get a hit (-135)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 60.9%
- Game: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)
The data shows value on Justin Crawford to get a hit, supported by a 60.9% probability at -135 odds and an edge of 3.4%.
Nicky Lopez to get a hit (-105)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 60.6%
- Game: Nationals vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
A 9.4% edge on the to get a hit line makes Nicky Lopez a value play in Nationals vs. Rangers, supported by a 60.6% probability at -105 odds.
Payton Tolle under 17.5 outs recorded (-122)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Payton Tolle under 17.5 outs recorded here, with a 60.5% probability and 5.6% edge at -122 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:27AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Orioles | Chris Bassitt o4.5 hits allowed | -161 @ DraftKings | 9.9% | 71.6% |
| Giants vs. Guardians | Parker Messick u5.5 hits allowed | -156 @ DraftKings | 9.9% | 70.9% |
| Giants vs. Guardians | Parker Messick u18.5 outs recorded | -186 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 65.3% |
| Cardinals vs. Reds | Matthew Liberatore o4.5 hits allowed | -129 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 65.3% |
| Mariners vs. Brewers | Dustin May o1.5 earned runs | -137 @ DraftKings | 6.9% | 64.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Max Scherzer u5.5 hits allowed | -146 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 64.4% |
| Padres vs. Mets | Michael King o4.5 strikeouts | -145 @ Fanatics | 3.9% | 63.1% |
| Marlins vs. Phillies | Justin Crawford to get a hit | -135 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 60.9% |
| Nationals vs. Rangers | Nicky Lopez to get a hit | -105 @ Fanatics | 9.4% | 60.6% |
| D-Backs vs. Red Sox | Payton Tolle u17.5 outs recorded | -122 @ FanDuel | 5.6% | 60.5% |
Conclusion
For August 19, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Chris Bassitt, Parker Messick and Matthew Liberatore. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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