Sun vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/30/2026]
Get Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Chicago Sky will take on the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Thursday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Sky prediction.
The Sky, who have the likes of Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sun, whose lineup includes Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Aneesah Morrow.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sky a 61.3% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+4.5) have a 55.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 65.6% chance of staying under,.
Sun vs. Sky odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (+113) | -4.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +186 | -194 |
| Total | o175.5 (-104) | u175.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +4.5 | +113 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +186 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | +100 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Connecticut vs. Chicago matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Leila Lacan is expected to lead the Sun with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Sydney Taylor is projected to have 20 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Sydney Taylor striking first with a 14.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| Diamond Miller | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Natasha Cloud | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| C. Vandersloot | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Jacy Sheldon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
Sun vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Sky and Sun at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 61.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
