Valkyries vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Friday's WNBA game [8/7/2026]
Get Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries will meet in the WNBA at American Airlines Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Wings a slight edge with a 54.7% win probability over the Valkyries.
The Wings, who have stars like Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Valkyries, whose lineup includes Janelle Salaun, Veronica Burton and Gabby Williams.
Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 2 threes.
This article offers further insights into Friday's Valkyries vs. Wings matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Wings a 54.7% chance of defeating the Valkyries.
According to our model, the Valkyries (+1.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161.5 points has a 61.7% chance of going over,.
Valkyries vs. Wings odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Wings -1.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Wings @ -106 via Novig
- Total: Over 161.5 @ -104 via Polymarket
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Wings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Wings -1.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Wings @ -106 via Novig
- Total: Over 161.5 @ -104 via Polymarket According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 161.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Wings player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Golden State vs. Dallas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Janelle Salaun is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Janelle Salaun striking first with a 15.5% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Salaun | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| Gabby Williams | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| Kayla Thornton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
Wings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 36 |
| Alanna Smith | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Azzi Fudd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Valkyries vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Wings and Valkyries at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 54.7% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
