Fever vs. Lynx prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 20 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/2/2026]
Get Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Sunday.
WNBA action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as the Indiana Fever square off with the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Lynx prediction.
The Lynx, who have stars like Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 20 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 64.2% chance of defeating the Fever.
According to our model, the Fever (+5.5) have a 55.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 191.5 points has a 78.9% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Lynx odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (+100) | -5.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -194 |
| Total | o191.5 (+104) | u191.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever +5.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Fever | +190 |
| Total | Under 191.5 | -106 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 191.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Lynx player props
Looking for Fever vs. Lynx WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 1 rebounds and 3 assists, while Napheesa Collier is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14.5% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| Caitlin Clark | 20 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 46 |
| Aliyah Boston | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 38 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Olivia Miles | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| C. Williams | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
Fever vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Lynx and Fever at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 64.2% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
