Fever vs. Fire prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 21 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/31/2026]
Get Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Portland Fire and Indiana Fever will lock horns in the WNBA at Moda Center on Friday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Fire prediction.
The Fire, led by Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, will face off against the Fever, whose lineup includes Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Caitlin Clark.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 21 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 79.8% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fever (-8.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 187.5 points has a 75.9% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (+100) | +8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -292 | +285 |
| Total | o187.5 (-104) | u187.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever -8.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -292 |
| Total | Under 187.5 | -104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 187.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Fire player props
Betting on Indiana vs. Portland WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 14 points, 2 rebounds and 5 assists for the Fire.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kelsey Mitchell is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 34 |
| Aliyah Boston | 22 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 47 |
| Caitlin Clark | 21 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 48 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| Megan Gustafson | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| B. Carleton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Fever vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Fire and Fever at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 79.8% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
