Aces vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 22 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/6/2026]

The Indiana Fever will take on the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Fever prediction.

The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Aces, who feature A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 22 points and 4 threes.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Fever prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Fever a 55.6% chance of beating the Aces.

According to our model, the 192.5-point over/under has a 61.1% chance of staying under,.

Aces vs. Fever odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Fever
Spread	-0 (-115)	0 (-105)
Moneyline	+104	-105
Total	o192.5 (+100)	u192.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fever 0	-105
Moneyline	Fever	-105
Total	Under 192.5	-104

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 192.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Fever player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Aces vs. Fever matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 27 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 26 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	27	9	3	1	53
Jackie Young	19	5	7	3	41
NaLyssa Smith	13	6	1	0	25
Chelsea Gray	12	3	7	2	33
Jewell Loyd	8	3	1	2	18

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	26	2	3	5	39
Caitlin Clark	22	5	9	4	51
Aliyah Boston	17	9	4	1	40
S. Cunningham	9	3	2	2	19
M. Billings	9	7	1	0	24

Aces vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Fever and Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 55.6% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.