Aces vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 22 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/6/2026]
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Indiana Fever will square off with the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Fever prediction.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 22 points and 4 threes.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 55.6% chance of defeating the Aces.
According to our model, the Fever (+1.5) have a 61.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 193-point over/under has a 60.7% chance of staying under,.
Aces vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+100) | +1.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +104 | -108 |
| Total | o193 (-115) | u193 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever +1.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -108 |
| Total | Under 193 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 193 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Fever player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Aces vs. Fever matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 27 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 26 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
When evaluating the first basket market, A'ja Wilson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 27 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 53 |
| Jackie Young | 19 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 41 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 26 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 39 |
| Caitlin Clark | 22 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 51 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 40 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| M. Billings | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
Aces vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Fever and Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 55.6% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
