Sparks vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/2/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Portland Fire will take on the Los Angeles Sparks, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Moda Center on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Fire a slight edge with a 54.1% win probability over the Sparks.
The Fire, who have the likes of Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, will face off against the Sparks, whose lineup includes Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Rae Burrell.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Sparks vs. Fire matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fire a 54.1% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+1.5) have a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 186.5 points has a 77.2% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (+115) |
| Moneyline | +105 | +100 |
| Total | o186.5 (+108) | u186.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire -1.5 | +115 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +100 |
| Total | Under 186.5 | -112 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 186.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Fire player props
Looking for Sparks vs. Fire WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 16 points, 2 rebounds and 6 assists for the Fire.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Nneka Ogwumike as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 18 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Dearica Hamby | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Rae Burrell | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Ariel Atkins | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| Erica Wheeler | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 31 |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
| B. Carleton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Sparks vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Fire and Sparks at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fire, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
