Lynx vs. Tempo prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [7/30/2026]
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as the Minnesota Lynx square off with the Toronto Tempo at Scotiabank Arena.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Lynx vs. Tempo prediction.
The Tempo, led by Marina Mabrey, Laura Juskaite and Isabelle Harrison, will face off against the Lynx, who feature Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lynx an 86.8% chance of beating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Tempo (+12.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 70.9% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Tempo odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (+102) | +12.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -614 | +590 |
| Total | o185.5 (-108) | u185.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +12.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -614 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | +104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Tempo player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Toronto WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Napheesa Collier is expected to lead the Lynx with 22 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.
When evaluating the first basket market, Marina Mabrey is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.5% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 40 |
| Kayla McBride | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Olivia Miles | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| C. Williams | 13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| Laura Juskaite | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| I. Harrison | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
| Maria Conde | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Nyara Sabally | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
Lynx vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Tempo and Lynx at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with an 86.8% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
