Storm vs. Fire prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/8/2026]

The Portland Fire will take on the Seattle Storm, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Moda Center on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Storm a slight edge with a 54.5% win probability over the Fire.

The Fire, led by Bridget Carleton, Carla Leite and Megan Gustafson, are set to take on the Storm, whose lineup includes Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Storm vs. Fire matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Storm a 54.5% chance of beating the Fire.

According to our model, the Storm (+1.5) have a 54.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180.5 points has a 53.9% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Fire odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +122 via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Storm @ -106 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 180.5 @ +100 via Novig

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +122 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Storm @ -106 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 180.5 @ +100 via Novig According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Fire player props

Betting on Storm vs. Fire WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Bridget Carleton is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Fire.

When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.6% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	16	9	2	1	37
N. Hiedeman	16	3	5	2	33
F. Johnson	13	4	3	1	28
Awa Fam	10	6	2	1	24
Jade Melbourne	8	2	4	1	22

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
B. Carleton	17	7	2	4	35
Carla Leite	15	3	9	1	36
Megan Gustafson	14	5	2	1	26
Emily Engstler	9	5	2	1	25
Frieda Buhner	8	3	1	2	16

Storm vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Fire and Storm at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 54.5% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

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